Netanyahu to Hold Talks with President Donald Trump in US Amidst Apprehensions of Israel's Regional Offensives
The Israeli premier is due to sit down with Donald Trump at the Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida on Monday evening. This occurs as concerns grow that Israel could begin new offensives against regional foes, potentially dragging the Middle East deeper into instability.
The prime minister flew from Israel on Sunday, marking his fifth trip to see Trump in the United States this year.
Halt in Fighting in Gaza and Pending Challenges
High on the agenda will be the halt in hostilities in Gaza, which in October halted the lengthy two-year war. While the conditions for an initial phase have been largely fulfilled, with Israeli forces retreating to new positions and Hamas releasing the surviving and almost all of the deceased hostages, immense challenges lie ahead for the implementation of the next stage of the US-brokered 20-point plan.
There are additionally fears that Israel will undertake new strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon, violating a ceasefire agreed upon more than a year ago, or against Iran, which it claims of ramping up the development of ballistic missiles in the past few months.
“The initial stage is basically over, there’s one remaining Israeli deceased hostage which [Hamas] are having difficulty finding,” commented a peace-building expert.
Each party trade accusations of breaking the truce. Hamas has declined to clearly commit to laying down its weapons and has had considerable success in re-establishing its rule in the parts of Gaza where nearly the entire population is situated. Israel seems unwilling to pull out from the 53% of Gaza it now controls or to permit the unhindered flow of aid into the strip.
“The next stage has to begin … and I think the Americans realise that it’s late because Hamas has had too much time to reorganize and this is certainly not a situation that the Americans want to leave in place,” the expert stated.
Civilian Toll and Present Situation
More than 70,000 Palestinians, largely civilians, lost their lives in Gaza during the war and the vast majority of the territory’s 2.3 million population was displaced. Roughly 400 Palestinians have died in Gaza since the October ceasefire, and huge numbers continue to live in conditions of extreme difficulty.
In the past few weeks, downpours and freezing conditions have exacerbated the suffering in Gaza, where the majority of housing and infrastructure have been heavily damaged or leveled.
The war was sparked by a unexpected offensive by Hamas in southern Israel in 2023, in which 1,200 people, mostly civilians, were killed and 250 others captured.
Next Stages and Diplomatic Frustrations
Under the future steps of the US proposal, an interim authority made up of independent Palestinian experts is to run the Palestinian territory instead of Hamas. An international stabilisation force of thousands of troops is to be stationed.
US officials have indicated the composition of the new authority could be announced in January.
Reports indicate that senior US officials are increasingly exasperated “as Netanyahu has taken steps to weaken the delicate truce and delay the peace process”.
“There are more and more signs that the American administration is getting frustrated with Netanyahu,” said a foreign policy specialist. “The question is what it’s going to do about it, because phase 2 is right now going nowhere.”
Netanyahu's Key Objectives
For Netanyahu, a priority will be convincing Trump to allow Israel to act to prevent Iran from repairing the damage inflicted on its nuclear programme or enhancing its ballistic missile capabilities.
Meanwhile, efforts to secure a defence pact between Israel and Syria have stalled and will also be on the agenda at Mar-a-Lago. Israeli officials have also called for more effective efforts to disarm Hezbollah.
Netanyahu has an election within 10 months, and the upcoming polls will affect his agenda. “Everything is connected to [his] staying in power,” an analyst said.
Surveys indicate Netanyahu’s current coalition would have a hard time to form a government if elections were held now. Many voters are displeased over the lapses that led to the 2023 Hamas raid, moves concerning military service exemptions, and a number of scandals.
A strong bond with Trump would reinforce Netanyahu’s appeal among floating voters and his base. This indicates any public disagreement between the two leaders is extremely unlikely, analysts said.
Netanyahu is expected to seek to convince Trump of the need for Israel to maintain a technological superiority over potential regional enemies. Many Israeli officials were alarmed by previous US comments regarding advanced weapons sales to other regional states.